Researchers Say There’s a 5% Chance That AI Will Cause Human Extinction

Key Points:

  • The overwhelming feeling among AI researchers is uncertainty about the future outcomes of superhuman AI, with concerns about human extinction and the need to prioritize research to minimize AI risks.
  • More than 80% of AI researchers express extreme concern about AI enabling the spread of misinformation, authoritarian rulers using AI to control populations, AI worsening economic inequality, and AI’s potential role in creating engineered viruses.
  • Leading AI organizations such as OpenAI and Anthropic are emphasizing the importance of aligning superhuman AI with human values and implementing safety measures, raising questions about the effectiveness of these methods with AI models smarter than humans.

Summary:

The survey of leading AI scientists suggests a 5% chance of AI becoming uncontrollable and wiping out humanity. Researchers anticipate significant advances in AI capabilities by 2030, with potential risks of human extinction and societal manipulation.

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