Nvidia could be primed to be the next AWS

Key Points:

  • Both Nvidia and Amazon Web Services emerged from accidental discoveries in their core businesses.
  • Nvidia’s revenue has shown explosive growth, particularly in its data center business, while AWS has been a consistent revenue driver for Amazon.
  • Both companies were in the right place at the right time with cloud services and AI, but they face challenges from increasing competition and potential market changes in the future.


Nvidia and Amazon Web Services (AWS) share a common thread of serendipity in their business evolution, both discovering lucrative opportunities beyond their initial intents. AWS leveraged its internal services for external profit, while Nvidia found unexpected success with GPUs in AI processing. This has propelled Nvidia’s revenue growth significantly in recent quarters, hitting $22.1 billion by Q4 2024, primarily driven by its data center business. In contrast, AWS, a fundamental revenue stream for Amazon, faces slowing growth amidst competition from Microsoft and Google in the expanding cloud market.


Both companies positioned themselves advantageously amid shifts in technology. The rise of web apps and mobile platforms in the last decade increased cloud demand and AI proliferation coincided with GPU usage. While AWS stands as a nearly $100 billion standalone entity, Nvidia’s growth outlook appears promising with an expected revenue surge to $24 billion in Q1 FY25, signaling a 234% growth uptick. Despite anticipated growth rate declines, Nvidia is projected to surpass $100 billion annual revenue, a notable achievement compared to its previous figures.


AI remains a key growth driver for Nvidia, solidifying its market dominance despite emerging competition from rivals like AMD and Intel. Market data underscores Nvidia’s grip on the GPU chip market with a notable 97.7% share, while challenges emerge at the board level with AMD gaining ground. However, industry analysts anticipate Nvidia’s continued dominance for at least the next five years, buoyed by diversified product offerings beyond the chip itself.


Potential hurdles loom for Nvidia as debates surrounding over-reliance on GPUs emerge. Skepticism persists on Nvidia’s sustained growth trajectory, especially as alternatives to GPU usage gain traction. Experts foresee a possibility of Nvidia facing market competition as AI use cases expand, calling for a balance to prevent monopolization. Disruptive forces may shake up Nvidia’s stronghold, fostering healthy market competition and innovation akin to shifts seen within AWS and Microsoft’s AI landscape.


Despite its current market leadership and financial success, Nvidia’s future trajectory remains uncertain. The company’s dominating position faces scrutiny as industry dynamics evolve, nudging Nvidia towards diversification and adaptability against potential disruptors. As Nvidia basks in its current success, the firm’s resilience amid changing market forces and competitor strategies will ultimately shape its long-term sustainability in an increasingly competitive landscape.



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