Survey says there’s a 50% chance AI beats humans at all tasks in 20 years

Summary:

Artificial intelligence (AI) has shown rapid progress, prompting surprise and concern among industry professionals. The likelihood of unaided machines outperforming humans in various tasks could reach 10% by 2027 and 50% by 2047.

 

The advance of AI has significant societal and existential implications, including the potential for severe disempowerment or human extinction, which has sparked concern among business leaders and researchers.

 

The survey suggests a general shift towards earlier expectations for the feasibility of AI milestones, with a strong consensus on the need to prioritize AI safety research as the technology continues to evolve.

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